本研究目的在建立美國傳統戰略模糊與臺灣避險策略間之理論關聯性。主要假設當臺灣從美國獲得較多且明確之安全承諾時,將可能更依賴美國安全保護傘,進而降低自身制定外交政策之自主與靈活性。過去數十年,華盛頓持續且長期的安全承諾,即有可能限制臺灣的避險策略選擇。本研究的實證證據,主要探討川普與拜登政府任內,華府戰略模糊逐漸轉變為戰略清晰下,臺北在美中兩強之間的外交政策。此外,藉由將避險的理論「模型化」,並區別避險與樞紐的關係,是本文另一個研究貢獻。
The study aims to establish a theoretical connection between strategic ambiguity and hedging policy. The assumption is that as Taiwan receives more security assurance and clarity from the United States, it may rely more on the U.S. security umbrella, reducing its autonomy and flexibility in crafting its foreign policy. Over time, consistent and prolonged security commitments from the United States could limit Taiwan’s hedging options, as it increasingly aligns with the U.S. position. The empirical evidence in this article explores how..
本文研究同時具有「北約組織」和「歐盟」會員國身分的歐洲國家與中國之間的關係。同時具有這兩個會員國身分的國家,除了是歐洲「最為民主」和「最具安全保障」的國家之外,也因為須配合這兩個國際建制的官方立場,因而在理論上應該要對中國採取方向一致的經濟、外交和安全政策。然而,近年來,隨著「美國對中政策的轉變」、「歐盟在移民和經濟議題上的分裂」,以及「北約組織各國在安全議題上的分歧」,中國對歐洲國家「分而治之」的爭議也浮上檯面。在經濟和安全皆有保障的情況之下,是否有什麼系統性的因素可以解釋歐洲各國與中..
This paper examines the relationships between China and the European countries that hold dual membership in both NATO and EU. These countries, being among the most democratic and secure in Europe, are theoretically expected to adopt consistent economic, diplomatic, and security policies toward China in line with the official positions of these two international institutions. However, in recent years, shifts in U.S. policy towards China, divisions within the EU on migration and economic issues, and security disagreements within NATO have bro..
近年來,中美兩強權在印太地區的戰略競爭愈演愈烈。特別是在基礎建設上,所謂的聯通性戰略,更是兩國在印太地區較量的指標。隨著經濟的快速發展,印太地區對數位化所需的基礎建設越顯急迫。在新冠疫情後,印太國家更加關注高質量的網路基礎設施以及一些關鍵的數據驅動技術,包括人工智慧(AI)。因應此需求,中國早在「一帶一路」(Belt and Road Initiative, BRI)的旗幟下,提倡「數位絲綢之路」(Digital Silk Road, DSR),積極推進數位基礎設施合作。美國則提出了「自..
In recent years, the strategic competition between China and the United States in the Indo-Pacific region has intensified, particularly in the realm of infrastructure development. The concept of connectivity has become a key indicator of this competition, as both countries seek to expand their influence in the region. With the rapid economic growth, the demand for digitalizationrelated infrastructure in the Indo-Pacific region has become increasingly critical. In the post pandemic period, Indo-Pacific countries are more concerned about high..
「淨零排放」為聯合國預計於2050年達成之目標,而臺灣在配合國際減排目標的同時,卻較少針對不同外銷出口策略所產生的溫室氣體排放,以及國際社會逐漸在推動的碳邊境稅/費制度予以探討。因此,本研究旨在透過2021年的鳳梨禁運事件,探討臺灣在轉向出口多元化的過程中,因不同出口策略而影響的溫室氣體排放,並以此對國內碳費政策的實施提供建議。研究結果發現,相較於過去對中國出口的依賴與集中,臺灣在朝向出口多元化發展的同時,不僅因著過去的路徑依賴,對日本形成「出口再集中」的趨勢,也在航運過程中對環境造成了..
“Net-zero emissions” is a target set by United Nations to be achieved by 2050. While Taiwan aligns with international emission reduction goals, it has shown limited focus on greenhouse gas emissions related to various export strategies and the global trend of carbon border adjustment mechanisms (CBAM) which is promoted by the international community. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the impact of greenhouse gas emissions influenced by different export strategies during Taiwan’s shift towards export diversification..
隨著拜登政府(Biden Administration)對中國半導體、人工智慧以及資通訊產業進行制裁,美中兩大強權於科技領域內競爭態勢已經形成。學者與政府官員對於中國挑戰美國科技霸權感到憂慮。然而當前國際關係領域缺乏對總體科技實力建構有效測量指標,導致在衡量中國科技權力上產生偏誤。因此,本文從金融權力、人力資本和智慧財產三個面向出發,建構了一套測量國家總體科技權力的指標。從指標中可發現,儘管中國已成為科技強國之一,但其與美國之間仍存在顯著差距。透過比較個案研究發現相比於美國開放社會帶來金..
As the Biden administration imposes sanctions on China’s semiconductor, artificial intelligence, and information and communication industries, a competitive stance in the technological arena has been established between the two powers, the United States and China. Scholars and government officials are concerned about China’s challenge to the US’s technological hegemony. However, there is a lack of effective measurement indicators for overall technological capability in the current field of international relations, lead..
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