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搜尋結果 : 和"分析"有關的資料, 共有295筆
德國民主化的經驗:制度性與非制度性因素之分析
Experiences of Germany's Democratization-An Analysis on Systematic and Non-Systematic Factors
蕭國忠(Kwo-Chung Shaw)
46卷1期(2007/03/01)

作為德國歷史上的第一個民主政體─威瑪共和從誕生開始就是一個「生病的民主」,也是一個「沒有民主人的民主」。威瑪憲法的制定者除了架構起所謂的「程序性民主」之外,同時更在議會制的基礎上賦予民選的總統強大的權力─半總統制,加上欠缺民主文化,以及存在著反體制的政黨,致令威瑪憲法像是特洛伊木馬。最後在議會政治失敗的亂局中,希特勒(Adolf Hitler)率領納粹黨徒從木馬中一躍而出,用原本是保護民主的權力將民主政體合法地謀殺掉。 二戰後的聯邦德國..

As the first democracy in German history, the Weimar Republic was “a sick democracy”, and “a democracy without democrats” ever since it was born. The composers of the Weimar Constitution not only constructed a so-called “procedural democracy”, but also gave the extreme power to the people-elected president – semi-presidentialism – based on the foundation of parliamentary system. Furthermore, accompanied with a political climate that lacked democratic culture and existing parties..

不同層級選舉中之一致與分裂投票:2005年台北縣之分析
Inter-Level Ticket Splitting: A Study of the Taipei County Elections in 2005
林長志(Chang-Chih Lin)黃紀(Chi Huang)
46卷1期(2007/03/01)

本文旨在探討台北縣選民在 2005 年縣長與鄉鎮市長兩個不同層級選舉中的一致與分裂投票行為。本研究的重點在強調:欲瞭解選民於不同層級選舉中的投票行為,不但要關注各個層級選舉影響因素的異同,更需考量到兩項公職同時選舉時可能產生的相互影響。因此在本文中,除概述台北縣選民在這兩種選舉中的一致與分裂投票情形之外,亦嘗試以隨機效用(random utility)理論,推演兼顧上述兩個特性的雙變數「聯立式機率單元模型」 (simultaneous equations p..

This article examines the first ever simultaneous local elections of county and township magistrates in Taiwan in December, 2005. We argue that in order to fully understand the voting choices in simultaneous inter-level elections scholars need to take account not only those factors affecting each level’s election but also the interactions between different levels. There are two competing theories concerning the flow of causal influences, i.e., the bottom-up mass mobilization hypothesis and the top-down coat-tail effect ..

國際關係理論的辯論、對話與綜合-美國“防止擴散安全提議”國際規範的個案分析
Debate, Dialogue, and Systematic Approach in the International Relations Theory: A Case Study of the U.S. Proliferation Security Initiative
莫大華(Ta-Hua Mo)
45卷5期(2006/09/01)

國際關係理論逐漸呈現以理論綜合的方式進行國際關係研究,國際規範研究是其中的重要議題之一,本文嘗試從國際規範的生命週期開始,運用「國際規範社群下的策略行動」(strategic actions in a international norm community),以理性主義(策略行為)與建構主義(規範行為)理論綜合的策略與研究途徑分析美國「防止擴散安全提議」,探索此國際規範的興起、擴展、內化與侵蝕階段時期中,不同國家的行為動機,藉以呈現說明理論綜合能提供不同面向的相互補充解釋。

The international norm is one of the major topics in international relations research, of which synthesized approach is gradually becoming a trend. This paper attempts to adopt Frank Schimmelfennig's approach- the strategic actions in an international norm community- to synthesize the theories of rationalism and constructivism in the international norm circle. As the case, the Proliferation Security Initiative will be analyzed through different phases of emergence of the life circle-cascade, diffusion, internalization, and erosion- to u..

冷戰結束後波蘭外交政策走向分析
Analysis of Polish Foreign Policy after the Cold War
楊三億(San-Yi Yang)
45卷4期(2006/07/01)

後冷戰時期波蘭外交政策之轉變可謂歐洲政治發展過程中一個相當明顯且重要的變化,本文以外交ˋ政策分析架構來檢視波蘭後冷戰時期加入北約、歐盟以及美伊戰爭後的外交政策變化,這些政策變化的主要動力來自對權力追求的強度、對合乎國家利益的理性考量、心理因素如何影響外交政策制定以及探討歷史思維在政策制定過程中扮演之角色等。 本文認為波蘭外交政策變化之因在於 : 第一,加入北約是為了滿足對外部安全環境的需求,以外交政策調整發誓獲得安全保證,決策者透過實質理性判斷,滿足加入北約的心理與歷史需求。第二..

The shift in foreign policy of Poland during the post-Cold war period can be considered as a significant process in the development of the European politics. This study focuses on the changes of foreign policy structure of Poland after the joining of NATO, EU and the US-lead war on Iraq. The changes are motivated by the strength on pursuit of power, rationality of the state interest, and the ideological and historical influence on the foreign policy making. This analysis draws the conclusion to the cause in Polish foreign policy change...

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