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搜尋結果 : 和"Cold War"有關的資料, 共有28筆
後冷戰時期美中泰三方互動分析: 一個時間序列分析的途徑
The Interaction of the U.S.-China-Thailand Triangle in the Post-Cold War Era: A Time- Series Analysis Approach
黎寶文 (Pao-wen Li)
61卷2期(2022/06/01)

本文主要關注後冷戰時期,面對中國崛起,美中兩強與以「竹子外交」聞名的泰國如何相互應對與影響?本文主要研究問題為:一、促成美中泰三方互動結構轉變之重要政治事件為何?二、美中泰三方互動是否存在第三方影響?三、美中泰三角關係內部行為如何相互影響?透過時間序列分析,統計結果佐證911事件對美中泰三角關係產生了結構轉變之效應,而中國政經因素與泰國內政因素之衝擊有限。此外,統計結果也證實美中泰三角關係中,美中互動將促成泰國利用對美政策加以平衡回應,顯示泰國面對大國政治的..

Facing China’s rise in the post-Cold War era, how do great powers, like the United States, China, and Thailand, who is famous for its bamboo strategy, interact with each other? This paper aims to answer the question by analyzing (1) what events cause structural changes in the triangle; (2) how the third-party effect works in this triangle; (3) how the three actors influence each other. By applying time-series analyses, statistical results show that the 911 attack had led to a structural change for the triangle. The impa..

不確定裡的確定與過時裡的不過時-重看雷蒙‧阿弘冷戰時期的國際政治理論
The Certainty within Uncertainty, the Non-Passing of Time within the Passing of Time-Essay About the Overcoming of the Theory of International Relations during the Cold War Period by Raymond Aron
閻嘯平(Hsiao-Ping Yen)
48卷2期(2009/06/01)

儘管阿弘認為自己的國際政治理論只適用於冷戰時期,但基於 20 世紀中葉以來日益強調不確定性的科學走向,並參照摩根索、瓦爾茲等人對科學概念的理解,今天似乎可以從三個知識論層級看出他的理論並沒有過時的問題:第一、在元理論層次,他以一系列的二律背反和特殊符碼,點明了許多不確定性的問題;第二、在元結構層次,他透過社會學與歷史學的方法論,將當事人與政治實體推出更嚴謹的二項式互動結構;第三、在實踐學層次,他對一系列外交行為提出二律背反的探索,從而不但超越了精確科學在確定..

It is with regards of the importance of the uncertainty for the current scientific philosophy that we want to interpret the theory of the international relations of the Cold War by Raymond Aron, using the comprehension which is concerned with the scientific conceptions of Mogenthau, Waltz, and others; and we want to verify not only that this theory keeps a sort of efficiency until today, but also that Aron has found some theories about the uncertainty on a higher level. We first want to show, in the field of metathe..

冷戰結束後波蘭外交政策走向分析
Analysis of Polish Foreign Policy after the Cold War
楊三億(San-Yi Yang)
45卷4期(2006/07/01)

後冷戰時期波蘭外交政策之轉變可謂歐洲政治發展過程中一個相當明顯且重要的變化,本文以外交ˋ政策分析架構來檢視波蘭後冷戰時期加入北約、歐盟以及美伊戰爭後的外交政策變化,這些政策變化的主要動力來自對權力追求的強度、對合乎國家利益的理性考量、心理因素如何影響外交政策制定以及探討歷史思維在政策制定過程中扮演之角色等。 本文認為波蘭外交政策變化之因在於 : 第一,加入北約是為了滿足對外部安全環境的需求,以外交政策調整發誓獲得安全保證,決策者透過實質理性判斷,滿足加入北約的心理與歷史需求。第二..

The shift in foreign policy of Poland during the post-Cold war period can be considered as a significant process in the development of the European politics. This study focuses on the changes of foreign policy structure of Poland after the joining of NATO, EU and the US-lead war on Iraq. The changes are motivated by the strength on pursuit of power, rationality of the state interest, and the ideological and historical influence on the foreign policy making. This analysis draws the conclusion to the cause in Polish foreign policy change...

後冷戰時期歐盟對中亞地區之戰略作為:強權政治的意涵
The EU Strategy towards Central Asia in the Post-Cold War Era: An Implication of Great Power Politics
吳東野(Tung-Yeh Wu)
45卷4期(2006/07/01)

1991年蘇聯解體之後,中亞成為全球安全局勢最具挑戰的地區之一,強權在中亞的權力競逐亦日趨白熱化。對積極邁向世界強權的歐盟而言,中亞天然資源豐富又位居反恐戰略要衝地位,是兵家必爭之地,但受制於地緣政治因素,歐盟在中亞儼然還不是戰略玩家,其與中亞國家之關係迄今仍根據1999年生效的「夥伴暨合作協定」,缺乏一套完整的戰略規劃。2003年11月喬治亞爆發「玫瑰革命」,隨後又在前蘇聯地區引發連鎖效應,使歐盟在中亞的戰略再成討論議題。 本文主要係從歐盟「歐洲睦鄰政策」的面向切入,分別檢視歐..

Central Asia reemerged from the collapse of the USSR in 1991 as one of the political and security challenging regions, intensifying the struggle among competing powers. The region's natural resources and strategic importance on anti-terrorism are critical for EU striving to achieve a global great power. But restricted by geo-politics, EU has not become a strategic player in Central Asia. The only legal framework of EU-Central Asian bilateral relations was the “Partnership and Cooperation Agreement” (PCA) since 1999, lacking ..

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