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軍事擴散理論的新思維:複合邏輯下的安全備戰模型
Secure-Arming Model under Complex Logic
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50卷1期(2011/03/01)

新現實主義針對外部平衡提出了許多的模型，但卻未能說明國家為何，以及如何在不同類型的內部平衡間進行選擇，以回應外在的壓力。要解釋一國在軍事政策上的變化，必須以一種結合體系與單元雙層次變數的理論進行分析，而這種理論的基礎即是目前方興未艾的新古典現實主義。不過，新古典現實主義雖注意到了單元層次的重要性，卻仍忽略了國家行為邏輯的雙重性，亦即，國家除了權衡利害關係(後果性邏輯)以做出決策外，在此過程中，也會受到文化因素(適當性邏輯)的影響。本研究即是希望能夠透過理論綜合的途徑，拓展現有的軍事擴散理論，將國內政策過程的分析含跨理性主義與建構主義(及文化主義)，設計出新一代的安全備戰模型。

 

There are many models of external balancing based on neo-realism. Nevertheless, not all can interpret why and how states choose among different types of internal balancing strategies to response the extrinsic stress. To understand the change of a state’s military policy, neoclassical realism integrates the system-level and unit-level variables. However, it still ignores the dual nature of the logic of state’s action, namely, besides interest, the influence of culture. Hence, a new “secure arming” model combining rationalism and constructivism(and culturalism)is warranted to support the military diffusion theories.

 

軍事擴散安全備戰模型新古典現實主義社會化理論綜合 Military Diffusion Secure-Arming Model Neoclassical realism Socialization Theory synthesis

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