近年來,深綠選民經常認為是陳水扁總統在個人危機,或是民進黨在選戰中的主要訴求對象,因而凸顯了深綠選民的重要性。本文主要的目的在於探討深綠選民應該如何測量及定義,以及他們是否真的是泛綠陣營選票的主要來源。作者根據台灣意識、台灣人政權以及政黨認同的概念,建構三個不同的指標,以測量及定義深綠選民。分析結果發現:以指標的表現而言,三個指標各有其優缺點,但在 TEDS2005M 的資料中,以台灣人政權指標的整體表現較佳。三個指標所定義的深綠選民,投票給泛綠候選人的比例..
Conventional wisdom holds that when President Chen Shui-bian faces personal crises, as well as in the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DDP) election campaigns, Chen and the party always appeal to the so-called “deep- green voters” for support, such that these voters factor prominently in determining election outcomes. The purpose of this paper is to define and measure deep-green voters, and also to examine whether the support of deep- green voters is vital for the pan-green parties. The author creates three i..
台灣四大族群的比例,在過去有戶籍資料身分可供參考,而在民國 81 年之戶籍法新修正規定,除原住民身分與族別外,其他族群並不記載。因此族群間的明顯分界線一夕消失,然而四大族群仍然存在。 欲瞭解現今台灣四大族群間的人口比例,通婚情況是必要瞭解的問題。本研究發現,過去傳統以父親為主要認同的方式,正逐漸發生變化,而這與父母親輩之族群通婚有相當大的關係。尤其以目前台灣在社會政治上,皆以台灣優先為本位,而本省閩南族群又為優勢族群,因此只要與本省閩南..
There used to be household registration data on the percentage of the major four Taiwanese ethnic groups. However, based on the amended Household Registration Law in 1992, only indigenous people and their tribes are identified in the database. While the distinct categorization among the four groups blurred overnight, the four groups remain. In order to understand the population percentage among the four groups, it’s necessary to understand the inter-group marriage. In this research, it has found that the trad..
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