柔性平衡理論以不同於傳統平衡論的觀點解讀國家行為與互動,其認為國家在威脅不明或與他國利益相連等情況下,將透過迂迴隱晦的方式進行平衡。該理論近年來在國際關係學界中漸受關注,研究者們不僅運用其解讀現實案例,也對理論內涵提出許多評述與論辯。本文在回顧既有論著的基礎上探討該理論之內容並檢視各類平衡策略形態,以期呈現柔性平衡理論當前的整體發展狀況,並釐清其內容中的爭議處,以推動後續研究的進一步深化。
The theory of “soft balancing” deals with the actions and interactions among states that is different from traditional balancing theories. The former features a belief that states achieve balances among themselves in indirect and covert ways under uncertain threats and interests pegged with other states. During the past few years, the theory of soft balancing has gradually gained prominence in academic circles of international relations. Researchers not only apply the theory while interpreting actual cases, but also have commented and debated extensively with regard to its contents. This article explores contents of the theory by reviewing arguments in existing studies. The various balancing tactics are divided or combined to reflect the overall development status of the theory at present and clarify contents in question. Hopefully, it will help to promote more advanced studies in the future.
在國際關係理論中,以主權國家為前提,以理性選擇為途徑,這種採用國家是單一理性行為體的假設,在解釋國際合作與否時,已經面臨到一些挑戰,換言之,非國家行為體亦扮演重要角色。另外,由新現實主義和新自由主義共同假定的制度結構,在日趨複雜的現實世界中,也不能完全理解真實國際社會合作發生的原因。因此,本文嘗試引用認知理論,藉共同認知變項的提出,並結合共同利益變項,透過整合制度結構和認知轉化的過程,導出一種國際合作框架。在驗證部份,本文採用賽局理論和列舉實際案例,說明制度..
In international relations, some theories explain international cooperation almost solely based on sovereign states and a presumed approach of rational choice. However, these hypotheses assume a state-actor, as a rational unit, will meet some unforeseen challenges, thus we need a non-state actor as another variable. Furthermore, an institutional structure of neo- realism’s and neo-liberalism’s hypothesis do not fully illustrate how international cooperation occurs in the real world. So we adopt both the cognitive ..
不論從當前的理論或是實務發展來看,中國在2010年以來的對外主要 作為均以其一帶一路倡議以及亞洲基礎設施投資銀行作為分析要點,而美 國的對應則聚焦在歐巴馬總統開始,並在川普與拜登時期成熟的印太戰略 上。學界與政策界對兩國互動的研析,不外乎是基於這樣的戰略架構討 論。不過,中國如何在近年發展之中逐漸形成一套在亞洲地區的策略,用 以應對美國及其盟友的印太戰略,目前並沒有一套較完整的架構解析。本 文認為,雖然在政策偏向、對外原則以及價值觀等面向,中國並沒有採用 美國及其盟國所主張的「印太戰略」..
From either theory or practice, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) have been identified as two major foreign behaviors of China. To respond, the United States adopts the Indo Pacific Strategy which started in the Obama administration and developed in Trump and Biden administrations. Though scholars and policy practitioners apply the aforementioned strategies to analyze US-China relations, the understanding of China’s strategy in Asia is still underdeveloped. This paper argues that while ..
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